Helmholtz Research School on Energy Scenarios

Publications

Zeitschriftenartikel, Buchbeiträge [Jahr, Erstautorschaft]

Artikel des gemeinsam von ESS-Angehörigen geschaffenen Special Issues „Energy Scenarios: Construction, Assessment, and Impact“ in der Strategy Energy Reviews sind mit „[SI]“ gekennzeichnet. Die Artikel wurden und werden gemäß der Journalregel einzeln veröffentlicht und online zum special issue zusammengefasst (Publikationen der einzelnen Beiträge verteilt sich auf die Jahre 2019 und 2020). Vier Beiträge stehen derzeit noch im Reviewprozess.

 

  • Cao, K.K., Haas, J. Sperber, E., Sasanpour, S., Sarfarazi, S., Pregger, T., Alaya, O., Lens, H., Drauz, S, R. Kneiske, T. (under review): Bridging granularity gaps to decarbonize large-scale energy systems. Joule. Elsevier.
  • Cao, K.K., Pregger, T., Haas, J., Lens, H (under review): Analyzing the future role of power transmission in the European energy system. Frontiers in Energy Research. Frontiers Media S.A.. ISSN 2296-598X.
  • [SI] DrosteFranke, B., Voge, M.; Kanngießer, A. (2020): Achieving transparency and robustness of regional energy scenarios by using morphological fields in inter- and transdisciplinary project groups. In Energy Strategy Reviews, 27, online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100430
  • Gómez Vilchez, J.J.; Jochem, P. (2020): Powertrain technologies and their impact on greenhouse gas emissions in key car markets. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 80, 102214. DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2019.102214.
  • Prehofer, S.; Kosow, H.; Buchgeister, J.; Naegler, T.; Pregger, T.; Rieder, A.; Vögele, S.; WeimerJehle, W. (under review): Linking qualitative scenarios with energy models: Lessons learned for knowledge integration in different methodological designs. In: Energy, Sustainability and Society.
  • Rehfeldt, M.; Worrell, E.; Eichhammer, W.; Fleiter, T. (2020) A Review of the Emission Reduction Potential of Fuel Switch towards Biomass and Electricity in European Basic Materials Industry until 2030. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 120, (2020), 109672.DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2019.109672.
  • Rehfeldt, M., Fleiter, T., Herbst, A., Eidelloth, S. (under review) Fuel switching as an option for mediumterm emission reduction - A model-based analysis of reactions to price signals and regulatory action in German industry, Energy Policy.
  • [SI] SchmidtScheele, R. (under review): 'Plausible' energy scenarios?! How users of scenarios assess uncertain futures. In Energy Strategy Reviews.
  • [SI] Scholz, Y.; GarciaTeruel, A.; Weimer-Jehle, W.; Prehofer, S.; Cao, K-K.; (under review): Integrating socio-economic scenarios into power system modelling: A methodology introduction and a case study for the energy transition in Europe. Energy Strategy Reviews.
  • Schreck, S., SchroedterHomscheidt, M., Klein, M., Cao, K., 2020. "Satellite imagebased generation of high frequency solar radiation time series for the assessment of solar energy systems.“ Meteorologische Zeitschrift (Contributions to Atmospheric Sciences), in press.
  • [SI] Senkspiel, C. (under review): Systemic evaluation of effects of regional selfsupply targets on the German energy system using consistent scenarios and system optimization. In Energy Strategy Reviews.
  • Thess, A., Klein, M., Nienhaus, K. & Pregger, T., 2020. "Global carbon surcharge for the reduction of anthropogenic emission of carbon dioxide.” Energy, Sustainability and Society, 10:9.
  • Wang, Z.; Jochem, P.; Fichtner, W. (2020) A scenariobased stochastic optimization model for charging scheduling of electric vehicles under uncertainties of vehicle availability and charging demand. Journal of Cleaner Production, 254, (2020), 119886. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.119886.
  • WeimerJehle W., Vögele S., Hauser W., Kosow H., Poganietz R-W., Prehofer S. (2020): Sociotechnical energy scenarios: state-of-the-art and CIB-based approaches. In Climatic Change, Online: doi.org/10.1007/s10584020-02680-y.  
  • Xiao, M., Wetzel, M., Pregger, T., Simon, S., & Scholz, Y. (2020). Modeling the Supply of Renewable Electricity to Metropolitan Regions in China. Energies, 13(12). doi:10.3390/en13123042.
  • [SI] Xiao, M., Junne, T., Haas, J., Klein, M.(under review). Plummetin Costs of Renewables Are Energy Scenarios Lagging?. Energy Strategy Reviews.
  • Xu, L.; Fuss, M.; Poganietz, W.R.; Schreiber, S.; Zoephelc, C.; Jochem, P.; Brown, N. (2020) An Environmental Assessment Framework for Energy System Analysis (EAFESA) The method and its application to the European energy system transformation. Journal of Cleaner Production, 243, (2020), 118614. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118614.

 

  • Cao, K.K.; Krbek, K.; Wetzel, M.; Cebulla, F.; Schreck, S. (2019) Classification and evaluation of concepts for improving the performance of applied energy system models. Energies 12(24), 4656. DOI: 10.3390/en12244656.
  • Frey, U.; Klein, M.; Deissenroth, M. (2019) Modelling complex investment decisions in Germany for renewables with different machine learning algorithms. Environmental Modelling and Software, 118 (2019) pp. 6175, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.03.006.
  • [SI] Gillich, A.; Brodecki, L.; Hufendiek, K. (2019): Impacts of complementing goals besides emission targets on CO2 mitigation cost: A modelbased analysis. In Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100395
  • Gómez Vilchez, J.J.; Jochem, P. (2019) Simulating vehicle fleet composition: A review of system dynamics models. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 115, (2019), 109367. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2019.109367.
  • Guo, Y., Ren, H., Zhou, W., Yu, Y., Xu, L., Fuss, M. (under review). Investigating the impacts of carbon price uncertainty on the aluminum supply chain network. Journal of cleaner production.
  • Klein, M.; Ziade, A.; de Vries, L. (2019) Aligning prosumers with the electricity wholesale market – The impact of timevarying price signals and fixed network charges on solar self-consumption. Energy Policy, 134, (2019), 110901. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110901.
  • Klein, M., Frey, U., Reeg, M., 2019. “Models Within Models – AgentBased Modelling and Simulation in Energy Systems Analysis.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 22 (4), 6.
  • [SI] Junne, T.; Xiao, M.; Xu, L.; Wang, Z.; Jochem, P.; Pregger, T. (2019) How to assess the quality and transparency of energy scenarios: Results of a case study. Energy Strategy Reviews, 26 (2019), 100380. DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100380.
  • [SI] Oberle, S.; Elsland, R. (2019): Are open access models able to assess today's energy scenarios? In Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, Online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100396
  • Pregger, T.; Naegler, T.; WeimerJehle, W.; Prehofer, S.; Hauser, W. (2019) Moving towards socio-technical scenarios of the German energy transition – lessons learned from integrated energy scenario building. Climatic Change, online: DOI:10.1007/s10584019-02598-0.
  • [SI] Rehfeldt, M., Globisch, J., Fleiter, T. (2019): Fuel choice in industrial steam generation: Empirical evidence reveals technology preferences. In: Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, 100407. DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100407.
  • Senkpiel, C., Berneiser, J., Steingrube, A., Biener, W., Gölz, S. (2019) Modeling investments in renewable energy technologies: An introduction to simulating technology diffusion including sociopsychological variables, Umweltpsychologie, 23, 38-57.
  • [SI] Tash, A.; Ahanchian, M.; Fahl, U. (2019): Improved representation of investment decisions in the German energy supply sector: An optimization approach using the TIMES model. In Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100421
  • [SI] Xiao, M.; Simon, S.; Pregger, T. (2019) Scenario analysis of energy system transition a case study of two coastal metropolitan regions, eastern China. Energy Strategy Reviews, 26 (2019) 100423. DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2019.100423.
  • Xiao M, Simon S, Pregger T. (2019) Challenges of the Energy System Transitions in the Eastern Coastal Metropolitan Regions of China The Role of Regional Policy Plans. Energies, 12, 389DOI: 10.3390/en12030389.

 

  • Cao, K.K., Metzdorf, J., Birbalta, S. (2018) Incorporating Power Transmission Bottlenecks into Aggregated Energy System Models. Sustainability, 10 (6). Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI). DOI: 10.3390/su10061916
  • Cao, K.K., Nitto, A. N., Sperber, E,. Thess, A. (2018) Expanding the horizons of powerto-heat: Cost assessment for new space heating concepts with Wind Powered Thermal Energy Systems. Energy (164), Seiten 925-936. Elsevier. DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.08.173
  • Cebulla, F.; Haas, J.; Eichman, J.; Nowak, W.; Mancarella, P. (2018): How much electrical energy storage do we need? A synthesis for the US, Europe, and Germany. Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 181, pp. 449–459.
  • Cebulla, F.; Jacobson, M. Z. (2018): Carbon emissions and costs associated with subsidizing New York nuclear instead of replacing it with renewables. Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 205, pp. 884–894.
  • Culka, M., (2018) Quantitative scenario design with Bayesian model averaging: constructing consistent scenarios for quantitative models exemplified for energy economics. In: Energy, Sustainability and Society, 8, 22. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13705018-0162-3
  • Fleiter, T.; Rehfeldt, M.; Herbst, A.; Elsland, R.; Klingler, A.L.; Manz, P.; Eidelloth, S. (2018) A methodology for bottom-up modelling of energy transitions in the industry sector: The FORECAST model. In: Energy strategy reviews 22 (2018), pp 237-254. DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2018.09.005.
  • Haas, J.; Cebulla, F.; Nowak, W.; Rahmann, C.; PalmaBehnke, R. (2018) A multiservice approach for planning the optimal mix of energy storage technologies in a fully-renewable power supply. Journal of Energy Conversion and Management, vol. 178, pp. 355–368.
  • Mousavi, B., Blesl, M. (2018) Analysis of the relative roles of supplyside and demand-side measures in tackling the global 1.5°C target. In: Giannakidis G., K. Karlsson, M. Labriet, B. Ó Gallachóir (eds.), Limiting Global Warming to Well Below 2°C: Energy System Modelling policy, Lecture Notes in Energy (64). Springer International Publishing AG, 67-83.
  • Rehfeldt, M.; Fleiter, T.; Toro, F. (2018): A bottomup estimation of the heating and cooling demand in European industry. In: Energy Efficiency 11:5, pp 1057-1082. DOI: 10.1007/s12053-017-9571-y.
  • Rehfeldt, M.; Fleiter, T.; Worrell, E. (2018): Interfuel substitution in European industry: A random utility approach on industrial heat demand. In: Journal of Cleaner Production 187 (2018), pp 98-110.  DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.03.179.
  • Xu, L., Pang, M., Z:hang, L., Poganietz, W. R., & Marathe, S. D. (2018) Life cycle assessment of onshore wind power systems in China. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 132, 361368.

 

  • Cebulla, F.; Fichter, T. (2017) Merit order or unitcommitment: How does thermal power plant modeling affect storage demand in energy system models? Renewable Energy, 105, pp. 117–132.
  • Cebulla, F.; Naegler, T.; Pohl, M. (2017) Electrical energy storage in highly renewable European energy systems: Capacity requirements, spatial distribution, and storage dispatch. Journal of Energy Storage, 14, pp. 211–223. DOI: 10.1016/j.est.2017.10.004. URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148116310990

     

  • Deissenroth, M., Klein, M., Nienhaus, K., & Reeg, M. (2017) Assessing the Plurality of Actors and Policy Interactions: AgentBased Modelling of Renewable Energy Market Integration. Complexity, Vol. 2017, DOI: 10.1155/2017/7494313.
  • Haas, J.; Cebulla, F.; Cao, K.; Nowak, W.; PalmaBehnke, R.; Rahmann, C.; Mancarella, P. (2017): Challenges and trends of energy storage expansion planning for flexibility provision in lowcarbon power systems – a review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 80, pp. 603–619.
  • Jagruti, T., Sebastian, R., Naïm R, D. & Basab, C. (2017) Exploring the impact of increased solar deployment levels on residential electricity bills in India. Renew. Energy  DOI:10.1016/j.renene.2017.12.101.
  • Klein, M. & Deissenroth, M. (2017) When do households invest in solar photovoltaics? An application of prospect theory. Energy Policy, 109, pp.270– 278, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.067.
  • Mousavi, B., Lopez, N.S.A., Biona, J.B.M., Chiu, A.S.F., Blesl, M. (2017) Driving forces of Iran’s CO2emissions from energy consumption: An LMDI decomposition approach. Applied Energy 206, 804–814.
  • Rauner, S. & Budzinski, M. (2017) Holistic Energy system modeling combining multiobjective optimization and life cycle assessment. Environ. Res. Lett. (2017). DOI:10.1088/1361-6528/aa8b39.
  • Voegele S., Hansen P., Poganietz W.R., Prehofer S., Weimer-Jehle W. (2017) Scenarios for energy consumption of private households in Germany using a multi-level cross-impact balance approach. Energy 120, 937-946. DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.12.001.

 

  • Cacean, S. (2016) Die Begründung relevanter Möglichkeiten durch idealisierte Modelle. In: Die Energiewende und ihre Modelle: Was uns Energieszenarien sagen können und was nicht, 1. Aufl., C. Dieckhoff und A. Leuschner, Hrsg. Bielefeld: transcript, S. 46–74.
  • Cao, K.; Cebulla, F.; Gómez Vilchez, J.J.; Mousavi, B.; Prehofer, S. (2016) Raising awareness in modelbased energy scenario studies - a transparency checklist. Sustainability and Society (2016) 6:28. doi:10.1186/s13705016-0090-z.
  • Culka, M. (2016) Uncertainty analysis using Bayesian Model Averaging: a case study of input variables to energy models and inference to associated uncertainties of energy scenarios. Energy, Sustainability and Society, 6, 7. DOI: 10.1186/s13705016-0073-0. URL: http://energsustainsoc.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s13705-016-0073-0.
  • Rauner S, Eichhorn M, Thrän D. (2016) The spatial dimension of the power system: Investigating hot spots of Smart Renewable Power Provision. Applied Energy 2016. DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.07.031.
  • WeimerJehle, W.; Buchgeister, J.; Hauser, W.; Kosow, H.; Naegler, T.; Poganietz, W.; Pregger, T.; Prehofer, S.; Rieder, A.; Schippl, J.; Vögele, S. (2016) Context scenarios and their usage for the construction of socio-technical energy scenarios. In: Energy 111, 956–970.

 

  • Li, H.; Chabay, I.; Renn, O.; Weber, A.; Mbungu, G. (2015) Exploring smart grids with simulations in a mobile science exhibition. Energy, Sustainability and Society, 5:37. DOI: 10.1186/s13705015-0066-4. URL: http://energsustainsoc.springeropen.com/articles/ 10.1186/s13705-015-0066-4.

 

  • Culka, M. (2014) Applying Bayesian model averaging for uncertainty estimation of input data in energy modelling. In: Energy, Sustainability and Society.2014, 4:21; DOI: 10.1186/s13705014-0021-9; URL: http://www.energsustainsoc.com/content/4/1/21; French version; Audio with legal note.
  • Gómez Vilchez, J.; Jochem, P.; Fichter, W. (2014) Car Technology Scenarios using System Dynamics: Exploring Market Penetration and Energy Consumption in China, Germany and US. 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (SDS). Presented at the SDS Conference’s PhD Colloquium in Delft (Netherlands). Available in 2014 Proceedings of the Student Chapter of the System Dynamics Society: http://student.systemdynamics.org/wp/colloquia/2014proceedings/.
  • Herbst, A.; Biere, D.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E.; Schade, W.; Krail, M.; Kühn, A. (2014) Coupling of ASTRA and Forecast Industry: A case study for the basic metals industry , ESA2 Short Report, Fraunhofer ISI Karlsruhe, Germany.
  • Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E. (2014): Modelling recycling and material efficiency trends in the European steel industry. In: European Council for an EnergyEfficient Economy -ECEEE-, Paris: eceee 2014 Industrial Summer Study on Energy Efficiency. Proceedings: Retool for a competitive and sustainable industry; 2-5 June, Papendal, Arnhem, the Netherlands. Stockholm: ECEEE, 2014, S. 201-212.

 

  • WeimerJehle, W.; Prehofer S.; Vögele S. (2013) Kontextszenarien – Ein Konzept zur Behandlung von Kontextunsicherheit und Kontextkomplexität bei der Entwicklung von Energieszenarien [Context scenarios – a concept for addressing context uncertainty and context complexity in energy scenarios, in German]. TATuP 22(2), pp. 2736.

 

  • Herbst, A.; Reitze, F.; Toro, F.; Jochem, E. (2012): Bridging macroeconomic and bottom up energy models the case of efficiency in industry. In: European Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy -ECEEE-, Paris: Industry: A third of Europe's Energy Use. ECEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Industry 2012 : Papendal Hotel and Conference Centre, Arnhem, The Netherlands, 11-14 September 2012. Stockholm: ECEEE, 2012, S. 409-417.
  • Herbst, A.; Toro, F.; Reitze, F.; Jochem, E. (2012): Introduction to energy systems modelling. In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 148 (2012), Nr. 2, S.111135.

 

  • Dieckhoff, Ch.; Fichtner, W.; Grunwald, A.; Meyer, S.; Nast, M.; Nierling, L.; Renn, O.; Voß, A.; Wietschel, M. (Hrsg.) (2011) Energieszenarien. Konstruktion, Bewertung und Wirkung "Anbieter" und "Nachfrager" im Dialog. – Tagungsband. Karlsruhe: KIT Scientific Publishing. Online available: http://www.itas.kit.edu/pub/v/2011/grua11a.pdf

 

Dissertationen [Jahr, Erstautorschaft]

  • Klein, M. (forthcoming): AgentBased Modeling and Simulation of Renewable Energy Market Integration – The Case of PV-Battery Systems (Arbeit ist verteidigt, Verlag noch offen).
  • Rehfeldt, M. (2020): Fuel Switching as Contribution to the Decarbonisation of the Industry Sector Integration in a Bottom-up Energy System. Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI. http://publica.fraunhofer.de/eprints/urn_nbn_de_0011n-5862797.pdf
  • Gómez Vilchez, J. J. (2019). The Impact of Electric Cars on Oil Demand and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Key Markets External Link. Dissertation. KIT Scientific Publishing, Karlsruhe. doi:10.5445/KSP/1000091891.
  • Mousavi, B. (2019) Analysis of the relative roles of supplyside and demand-side measures in tackling global climate change : application of a hybrid energy system model. Stuttgart: Universität Stuttgart; Link: https://elib.unistuttgart.de/handle/11682/10625.
  • Steingrube, A. (2019): Sozioökonomische Modellierung des Ausbaus erneuerbarer Energien in Privathaushalten am Beispiel Photovoltaik und Heizungssysteme. Freiburg: Universität Freiburg, Link: https://freidok.uni-freiburg.de/data/154525.
  • Cebulla, F. (2017): Storage demand in highly renewable energy scenarios for Europe: the influence of methodology and data assumptions in modelbased assessments. University of Stuttgart, OnlineAusg. unter: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:93-opus-ds-97783.
  • Culka, M. (2017): Uncertainties in energy scenarios. Karlsruhe: Universität Karlsruhe, Link: http://dnb.info/1135962162.
  • Herbst, A. (2017): Kopplung eines makroökonomischen Modells mit einem »bottomup« Energienachfrage-Modell für die Industrie. Eine Fallstudie über die Stahlindustrie. Dissertation. Flensburg: Zentrale Hochschulbibliothek Flensburg. 224 S., Link: https://www.zhb-flensburg.de/dissert/herbst/.
  • Li, H. (2016): Consumer behavior, social influence, and smart grid implementation. Stuttgart: University of Stuttgart, Link: http://dx.doi.org/10.18419/opus8816.

 

Konferenzbeiträge und Vorträge [Jahr, Erstautorschaft]

  • François, D. E., Poganietz, WR, Leão, R. P. S., Antunes, F. L. M. (2019). Changing the focus on energy poverty to the energypoverty nexus. The case of rural Ceará – Brazil. Energy and Society in Transition: 2nd International Conference on Energy Research and Social Science, 28th – 31st May 2019, Tempe, USA.
  • Junne, T., Haas, J., Moreno, S., Naegler, T., Nowak, W. (2019): Considering Ecological Sustainability in Planning the Future Electricity Supply of Chile – How Much More Does it Cost? In Düsseldorf, Germany: International Renewable Energy Storage (IRES) Conference 2019.
  • Junne, T., Saiger, M., Buchgeister, J., Simon, S., Naegler, T. (2019): Integrating future background scenarios for prospective LCA – method and case study on the German energy system. In Dubrovnik, Croatia: SETAC, 2019
  • Klein, M., Deissenroth, M. & Schimeczek, C., 2019. Mapping the challenge of renewable electricity market integration – Multiscenario analysis with an agent-based electricity market model. IEWT, Vienna, Austria.
  • Rehfeldt, M. Tobias Fleiter, Andrea Herbst (2019): Erfolgreiche Dekarbonisierungspfade der Industrie berücksichtigen kurzfristige Vermeidungsoptionen. 11. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien, 12. 15. Februar 2019 Wien, Österreich
  • Rehfeldt, M. (2019): Brennstoffwechselpotentiale in Industrieöfen: Eine Abschätzung der mittelfristigen Beiträge zu 1.5°CEmissionsreduktionspfaden. Innovationsforum Hybrid Heating, 11.-12.4.2019 Aachen.
  • Wang, Z.; Jochem, P. (2019): How many electric vehicles can one wind turbine charge? A study on wind energy generation and electric vehicle demand correlation. The 32nd Electric Vehicle Symposium, May 19 – 22, 2019

 

  • Culka, M. (2018): Assessment of energy scenarios based on construction methods. Energy Scenarios Conference, 24th 25th, Sep. 2018, Karlsruhe, Germany.
  • François, D. E., Poganietz, WR (2018): Context energy scenarios for the energypoverty nexus: looking beyond the number of people with access to modern energies. Energy Scenarios Conference, 24th - 25th, Sep. 2018, Karlsruhe, Germany.
  • Jochem, P.; Märtz. A.; Wang, Z.; (2018): How Might the German Distribution Grid Cope With 100% Market Share of PEV? Impacts from PEV charging on low voltage distribution grids. The 31st International Electric Vehicle Symposium & Exhibition & International Electric Vehicle Technology Conference 2018, Sept. 30 – Oct. 3 2018, Kobe, Japan
  • Junne, T., Wulff, N., Schebek, L., Naegler, T. (2018): Material demand in global energy scenarios: The case of neodymium, dysprosium, lithium and cobalt. In Karlsruhe, Germany: ESS Conference 2018, Energy Scenarios – Construction, Assessment, and Impact. (Winner of the Best Poster Award)
  • Klein, M. (2018): Mid to long-term modeling of energy market prices. Workshop of the German section of the IAEE, Cologne, Germany.
  • Klein, M., Ziade, A., Deissenroth, M. (2018): The system friendliness of solar selfconsumption under different regulatory regimes. International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE), International Conference, Groningen, The Netherlands.
  • Klein, M., Xiao, M. & Junne, T. (2018): Benchmarking VRE cost assumptions with awarded renewable energy auctions A comparative assessment of global energy scenarios. Energy Scenarios Conference, Karlsruhe, Germany.
  • Moreno, S., Haas, J., Junne, T., Eltrop, L. (2018): A green copper concept: on the design of a fullrenewable energy supply for its production. In Karlsruhe, Germany: ISESO; 2018 (International Symposium on Energy System Optimization).
  • Mousavi, B., Blesl, M., (2018): Global decarbonization pathways towards limiting endof-century warming to below 1.5°C – with a focus on resource efficiency in Iron and Steel and Non-metallic minerals industries, The 37th edition of International Energy Workshop, Gothenburg, Sweden
  • Prehofer, S. (2018): Linking qualitative scenarios with energy models: Knowledge integration in different methodological designs. ESS Conference, Karlsruhe, Sep 2425.
  • Rauner, S., Luderer, G. (2018): Air pollution health benefits of climate policy for major economies. Eleventh Annual Meeting of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium. Seville, Spain.
  • Shojachaikar, A. (2018): Methodological redesigning of Cross Impact balanced method: Case of German electricity consumption regime. Energy Scenarios – Construction, Assessment, and Impact, International conference organised by the Helmholtz Research School on Energy Scenarios, Karlsruhe, Germany, 24th25th of September 2018

 

  • Steingrube, A. (2018): A MODELLING APPROACH FOR THE ADOPTION OF HEATING SYSTEMS BY PRIVATE HOUSEHOLDS IN GERMANY, Behave conference, 5.7.9.2018, Zürich
  • Wang, Z.; Jochem, P. Fichtner, W.; (2018): Optimal Charging Management of Electric Vehicle Fleets under Uncertainty. The 41st IAEE International Conference, Groningen, Netherland, June 10 13, 2018
  • Xiao, M. (2018): Scenario Analysis of Energy System Transition A Case Study of Two Coastal Metropolitan Regions, Eastern China, 3rd Japanese-German Workshop on Renewable Energies, 17th - 19th, Oct. 2018, Tokyo, Japan.
  • Xiao, M. (2018): Scenario Analysis of Energy System Transition A Case Study of Two Coastal Metropolitan Regions, Eastern China, Energy Scenarios Conference, 24th - 25th, Sep. 2018, Karlsruhe, Germany.
  • Xiao, M. (2018): Largescale Renewable Energies Power Supply for Metropolitan Region of China, Energy Systems Conference, 19th-20th, June, 2018, London, UK.
  • Xu, L.; Fuss, M.; Poganietz, W.R.; Brown, N.; Ekener, E. (2018): Combining environmental lifecycle assessment and energy system models: First insights for the European future decarbonized energy system. Vortrag auf der 13th Biennial International Conference on EcoBalance 2018, Tokio, Japan, 09.-12.10.2018

 

  • Lopez, N.S.A.,  Mousavi, B., Biona, J.B.M., Chiu, A.S.F. (2017): Decomposition Analysis of CO2 Emissions with Emphasis on Electricity Imports and Exports: EU as a Model for ASEAN Integration, Chemical Engineering Transactions, 61, 739744.
  • Mousavi, B., Blesl, M. (2017): Analysis of the required global energy system and the associated macroeconomic implications in order to meet ambitious decarbonization targets, The 71st SemiAnnual ETSAP workshop, University of Maryland, Maryland, USA.
  • Rehfeldt, Matthias; Fleiter, Tobias (2017): Integration Erneuerbarer Energieträger in industrielle Hochtemperaturprozesse: Technische Grenzen des Energieträgerwechsels. 10. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien, 15. 17. Februar 2017 Wien, Österreich
  • Shojachaikar, A. (2017): Beyond Internal Consistency: an alternative technique to choose scenarios for CrossImpact Balance (CIB) method. Future of a complex world conference –Turku, Finland, 12th June 2017
  • Steingrube, A. (2017): Investment decisions in photovoltaic systems. Women4energy conference, December,  6th 2017 Stuttgart

 

  • Cacean, S. (2016): Justifying Serious Possibilities with Unrealistic Models., In Barcelona, Spain: Models and Simulations 7 Conference (MS7), 18.20.5. 2016
  • Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E. (2016): Einfluss von Materialstrategieverbesserungen auf die industrielle Energienachfrage. 14. Symposium Energieinnovation, 10.12.02.2016 Graz/Austria.
  • Mousavi, B., Blesl, M. (2016): Analysis of the relative roles of supplyside and demand-side measures in tackling global climate change: TIAM-MACRO with Variable Elasticity, The 70th Semi-Annual ETSAP workshop, Complutense University of Madrid, Spain.
  • Rehfeldt, Matthias; Rohde, Clemens; Fleiter, Tobias; Toro, Felipe; Reitze, Felix (2016): A bottomup estimation of heating and cooling demand in the European industry. Industrial Efficiency 2016, Going beyond energy efficiency to deliver savings, competitiveness and a circular economy, 12-14 September 2016, Kalkscheune, Berlin, Germany
  • Savelsberg, J. D., Schillinger, M., Vu, T. (2016):  Putting the heat on electricity markets, International Conference on the “European Energy Market” 2016 (EEM), 06.06.2016 in Porto (Portugal)
  • Shojachaikar, A. (2016): Qualitative but systematic envisioning of sociotechnical transitions: Using cross-impact balance method to construct future scenarios of transitions. International Sustainability Transitions Conference. Wuppertal, Germany, 6-9th September 2016
  • Vu, Trung (2016): A Stochastic Methodology to Determine Reinforcement Cost of Power Distribution Grid for Integrating Increasing Share of Renewable Energies and Electric Vehicles. In: European Energy Market (EEM).
  • Vu, T. (2016): A methodology to integrate distribution grid effects and distributed flexibility technologies into modelbased system analysis of electricity markets, “Whole Systems Energy Modelling Consortium” Annual Conference, 04.07.2016 in Cambridge (UK)

 

  • Li, H. (2015): Social Simulations of Household Electricity Use in a Smart Grid Environment. 19th GEE (German Energy Science Society) Workshop, Stuttgart, May 8, 2015
  • Prehofer, S. (2015): Theorybased and (more) systematic scenario factor definition. An application in energy system modelling. Future Studies Tackling Wicked Problems: Where Futures Research, Education and Action Meet, Turku, Finland, June 11-12, 2015.
  • Rauner, S. (2015): A GISsupported multi-criteria energy system optimization approach with integrated sustainability assessment. 27th European Conference on Operational Research. 12.–15. July 2015. Glasgow. Scotland

 

  • François, D. E. (2014): Sustainable power systems: electric grids with a large penetration of renewable distributed generation – a case study in Brazil. PhD Summer school “Research on Sustainable Development”, 2327 June 2014, University of Basel.
  • Li, H.; Pfenning, U. (2014): An agentbased model of local energy autonomy in Germany. 23rd Conference of Society for Risk Analysis Europe, 16-18 June 2014, Istanbul.
  • Mousavi, B., Blesl, M., (2014): Global decarbonization pathways: Contribution of different options in CO2 reduction TIAMMSA, Decomposition analysis, The 66th Semi-annual IEA-ETSAP meeting, Danish Technical University, Copenhagen, Denmark
  • Prehofer, S. (2014): Applying CrossImpact Balance Method to enhance strategic reflection in science and politics. The case of heat consumption in Germany". 1st International Symposium on Energy Challenges & Mechanics, 8-10 July 2014, Aberdeen (Scotland, UK).
  • Prehofer, S. (2014): Constructing hybrid scenarios to enhance sociotechnical system understanding and to improve coupling stories with quantitative modelling. UCL-CIRED workshop “Innovative techniques for Quantitative SCeanrios in ENergy and Environmental research (IQ SCENE)”, 26-27 March 2014, London

 

  • Gómez Vilchez, J.; Jochem, P.; Fichter, W. (2013): EV Market Development Pathways – An Application of System Dynamics for Policy Simulation. In Proceedings of the 32nd International Association for Energy Economics (IAEE). Presented in Düsseldorf. Abstract available online at: http://static.gee.de/cgibin/download.cgi?dl=1&id=1363347406
  • Gómez Vilchez, J.; Jochem, P.; Fichter, W. (2013): The Impact of Electric Vehicles on Global Oil Demand and CO2 Emissions. In Proceedings of the 13th World Congress on Transport Research Society (WCTR). Presented in Rio de Janeiro. Online access restricted to WCTRS members

 

  • Cao, K. (2013): Analysis of longterm development scenarios for the German and European power transmission system considering options for energy balancing. Meeting with the international advisory board, 8. Okt. 2013, Karlsruhe.
  • Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E. (2013): Mutually linking bottomup energy demand models with macroeconomic models: Dealing with inter- and intra-sectoral structural change. IAEE International Conference Contribution and Presentation. Dague, South Korea.
  • Herbst, A.; Jochem, E. (2013): Demand modelling by hybrid energy system models Linking the results of process-based bottom-up models and macroeconomic models. Conference poster presentation “Energy Systems in Transition: Inter- and Transdisciplinary Contributions”, 9-11th October 2013, Karlsruhe. (Poster)
  • Prehofer, S. (2013): The German Energy Turnaround – Applying risk analysis using CIB context scenarios. 5th iNTegRisk Conference 2013 “Horizon 2020: From iNTeg-Risk to the European Emerging Risk Radar, May 22th 2013, Stuttgart.
  • Prehofer, S. (2013): Combining CIB with Simulation. Constructing scenarios of sociotechnical-environmental futures. Geography and Sustainability, Conference on Transdisciplinary Research and Modeling, April 10th 2013, Munich.
  • Toro, F.; Herbst, A.; Reitze, F.; Jochem, E.; Lifschiz, I. (2013): Industrielle Energiebedarfsprognosen eines hybriden Energiemodellsystems. 8. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien. IEWT 2013.